Archive - Going John Galt

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$29 WHAT LANDING?

Right tail outcomes more probable, ‘crash up’ seems historically more likely from here despite obvious risks

Aug 31 •

March 2023

$28 MONETARY TIGHTENING VS. BANK CREDIT TIGHTENING

Identifying the potential beneficiaries of last week's Fed decision

Mar 28 •

$27 NO PERFECT TIME FOR HIKES

Will these events curtail credit and how will this impact economic activity and inflation?

Mar 22 •

February 2023

$26 HIGHER FOR LONGER

Re-acceleration in economic data at odds with market pricing of a Fed pause and cuts this year, an ominous sign for US equities

Feb 9 •

January 2023

$25 GREAT THINGS HAPPEN TO CHEAP ASSETS

A ‘portfolio update’ on themes highlighted in past posts (i.e., China, Japanese Yen, and Europe’s energy crisis, commodity supercycle, etc.)

Jan 23 •

December 2022

$24 JPY: A GREAT 2023 STORY GETS BETTER

Japan’s new path leads to strong JPY appreciation through higher domestic bond yields & lower US-Japan bond yield differentials

Dec 23, 2022 •

November 2022

$23 A MORE BALANCED APPROACH

Increasing odds of a range-bound / slowly upwards-sloping grind with substantial rotation within equities

Nov 30, 2022 •

Build in Public (BIP) $1

Relevant metrics / KPIs, takeaways and the future of Going John Galt

Nov 26, 2022 •

$22 “IT’S PRONOUNCED NUCULAR"

Nuclear and the uranium market—fuel for nuclear power plants—offers a great asymmetric risk-return opportunity today

Nov 17, 2022 •

$21 THE ‘EVERYTHING TRADE’

Examining a potential peak in bond yields, an event that should reverberate throughout the whole financial system

Nov 10, 2022 •

October 2022

$20 ANOTHER BEAR MARKET RALLY?

Technical and fundamental factors are setting the market up for yet another bear market rally

Oct 27, 2022 •

$19 CHINATECH: RETESTING CYCLE LOWS

What I got right / wrong about China in June: update on the ChinaTech thesis and the country's potential in coming months

Oct 23, 2022 •

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