Archive - Going John Galt

$32 UNFORCED ERRORS

Bond vigilantes may no longer be fossilized remains of ‘90s and ‘00s financial Americana

Jun 3 •

June 2024

$31 HEADS I WIN, TAILS...

A few intriguing observations as we try to make sense of these nihilistic markets

Jun 25, 2024 •

January 2024

$30 GOLDILOCKS (2.0) AND THE THREE BEARS

Goldilocks 2.0 possible with a resilient economy and investor-friendly monetary / fiscal policy supporting top-line growth and valuations

Jan 29, 2024 •

August 2023

$29 WHAT LANDING?

Right tail outcomes more probable, ‘crash up’ seems historically more likely from here despite obvious risks

Aug 31, 2023 •

March 2023

$28 MONETARY TIGHTENING VS. BANK CREDIT TIGHTENING

Identifying the potential beneficiaries of last week's Fed decision

Mar 28, 2023 •

$27 NO PERFECT TIME FOR HIKES

Will these events curtail credit and how will this impact economic activity and inflation?

Mar 22, 2023 •

February 2023

$26 HIGHER FOR LONGER

Re-acceleration in economic data at odds with market pricing of a Fed pause and cuts this year, an ominous sign for US equities

Feb 9, 2023 •

January 2023

$25 GREAT THINGS HAPPEN TO CHEAP ASSETS

A ‘portfolio update’ on themes highlighted in past posts (i.e., China, Japanese Yen, and Europe’s energy crisis, commodity supercycle, etc.)

Jan 23, 2023 •

December 2022

$24 JPY: A GREAT 2023 STORY GETS BETTER

Japan’s new path leads to strong JPY appreciation through higher domestic bond yields & lower US-Japan bond yield differentials

Dec 23, 2022 •

November 2022

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